Journal Publications

(Please feel free to reach out to me for best options for articles that are not open-access.)

Flach, RA, G Abrahão, BP Bryant, M Scarabello, AC Soterroni, F Ramos, H Valin, M Obersteiner, AS Cohn (accepted). Conserving the Cerrado and Amazon biomes of Brazil protects the soy economy from damaging warming. World Development.

He, X, BP Bryant, T Moran, KJ Mach, Z Wei, D Freyberg  (2021). Climate-informed hydrologic modeling and policy typology to guide managed aquifer recharge. Science Advances

Bryant, BP, TR Kelsey, AL Vogl, SA Wolny, P Selmants, T Biswas, HS Butterfield (2020). Shaping land use change and ecosystem restoration in a water-stressed agricultural landscape to achieve multiple benefits. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems. 4, 138 [Application to San Joaquin Valley, California]

Chaplin-Kramer, R, RP Sharp, C Weil, EM Bennett, U Pascual, KK Arkema, KA Brauman, BP Bryant, twelve others, and GC Daily (2019). Global modeling of Nature’s Contributions to People. Science. 366 (6462).

Tallis, H, thirty-seven others, BP Bryant, and seventy-seven others (2019). Aligning evidence generation and use across health, development, and environment. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability.

Gordon, BL, V Kowal, A Khadka, R Chaplin-Kramer, R Roath, BP Bryant (2019). Existing accessible modeling tools offer limited support to evaluation of impact investment in rangeland ecosystem services. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems. 3:77.

Hamel, P, G Blundo, V Kowal, BP Bryant, R Chaplin-Kramer, P Hawthorne (2019). Where should livestock graze? Integrated modeling and optimization to guide grazing management in the Cañete basin, Peru. Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling Vol 1.

Bryant, BP, ME Borsuk, P Hamel, K Oleson, CJE Schulp, S Willcock (2018). Transparent and feasible uncertainty assessment adds value to applied ecosystem services modeling. Ecosystem Services 33, 103-109. [Perspective and overview of edited special issue.]

Bryant BP, P Hamel, L Mandle (2018). Look beyond peer-reviewed literature and traditional validation when assessing ecosystem services modeling efforts: A response to Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona’s review. Ecosystem Services 30, 1-2.

Chaplin-Kramer R, S Sim, P Hamel, BP Bryant, R Noe, C Mueller, G Rigarlsford, M Kulak, V Kowal, R Sharp, J Clavreul, E Price, S Polasky, M Ruckelshaus, G Daily (2017). Life cycle assessment needs predictive spatial modelling for biodiversity and ecosystem services. Nature Communications 8, 15065.

Hamel, P. and BP Bryant (2017). Uncertainty assessment in ecosystem services analyses: Common challenges and practical responses. Ecosystem Services 24, 1-15.

Vogl, A, BP Bryant, J Hunink, S Wolny, C Apse, P Droogers (2016). Valuing investments in sustainable land management in Kenya’s Upper Tana river basin. Journal of Environmental Management 195, 78-91.

Mandle, L, BP Bryant, MH Ruckelshaus, D Geneletti, A Pfaff, and J Kiesecker (2015). Entry points for considering ecosystem services within infrastructure planning: How to integrate conservation with development in order to aid them both. Conservation Letters (9) 3, 221-227.

Polasky, S, BP Bryant, P Hawthorne, J Johnson, B Keeler, and D Pennington (2015). Inclusive Wealth as a Metric of Sustainable Development. Annual Review of Environment and Resources. doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-101813-013253

Bryant, BP and AL Westerling (2014). Scenarios for future wildfire risk in California: links between changing demography, land use, climate, and wildfire. Environmetrics 25(6), 454–471. (Abridged journal version of California Energy Commission report CEC-500-2012-030)

Hurteau, MD, AL Westerling, C Wiedinmyer, and BP Bryant (2014). Projected effects of climate and development on California wildfire emissions through 2100. Environmental Science & Technology 48(4), 2298-2304.

Westerling, AL, BP Bryant, HK Preisler, TP Holmes, HG Hidalgo, T Das and SR Shrestha (2011). Climate change and growth scenarios for California wildfire. Climatic Change 109(s1), 445-463.

McJeon, HC, L Clarke, P Kyle, M Wise, AD Hackbarth, BP Bryant, RJ Lempert (2011). Technology interactions among low carbon energy technologies: What can we learn from a large number of scenarios? Energy Economics 33(4), 619-631.

Bryant, BP and RJ Lempert (2010). Thinking Inside the Box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 77(1), 34-49.

Westerling, AL and BP Bryant (2008). Climate Change and Wildfire In California. Climatic Change 87, s231-249.

Doctoral Dissertation

Bryant, BP (2013). Monopoly and Micro-Irrigation in Smallholder Water Markets: Using exploratory modeling to consider interactions between market structure and agriculture technology subsidies. The RAND Corporation. RGSD-322.

Papers and Projects in Review or Preparation

Bryant, BP, T Maurer, P Saksa, J Herman, K Wilson, E Smith (in prep). Forest restoration can simultaneously improve fire resilience, reservoir hydropower production, and riverine species habitat.

Jain, M, BP Bryant, S Winder, S Wood (in prep). Causal estimates of wildfire impacts on forest recreation using spatial panels of wildfire and social media data.

Flach, R, BP Bryant, H Valin, J Filho, F Ramos, M Scarabello, A Soterroni, G Abrahão, M Obersteiner, A Cohn (in prep). Considering the forest temperature regulation impact on yields significantly reduces the economic impact of zeroing deforestation in Brazil.

He, X and BP Bryant (in prep). Tools and metrics for robust spatial planning in the face of uncertain land use change. 

White Papers and Other Publications

Kelsey TR, BP Bryant, AL Vogl, AK. Hart, and H. Scott Butterfield (2021). Strategic Selection of Lands for Rewilding to Optimize Outcomes and Minimize Costs. Book chapter appearing in: Butterfield, Kelsey, Hart (2021). Rewilding Agricultural Landscapes: A California Study in Rebalancing the Needs of People and Nature. Washington, DC: Island Press. 

Vogl, AL, RJP Schmitt, RD Simpson, BP Bryant, S Wolny (2019). Valuing Green Infrastructure Volume 1: Case Study of Kali Gandaki Watershed, Nepal. The World Bank. 

Vogl, AL, RJP Schmitt, RD Simpson, BP Bryant, S Wolny (2019). Valuing Green Infrastructure Volume 2: Case Study of Mangla Watershed, Pakistan. The World Bank.

Bryant, BP, Z Knight, PC Saksa, and N Wobbrock (2019). The Forest Resilience Bond: Connecting private capital to restoration projects that reduce fire risk and provide ecosystem service co-benefits. Case study box appearing in: Mandle, Ouyang, Salzman and Daily (2019). Green Growth That Works: Natural Capital Policy and Finance Mechanisms around the World. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Hamel, P, BP Bryant, R Chaplin-Kramer, A Vogl (2018). Integrating environmental and social impacts with ecosystem services analysis. In Bleischwitz et al (pp159-176) Handbook on the Resource Nexus. New York, New York: Routledge.

Bryant BP, with contributions from Phil Saksa (2017). Moving Beyond “Fire Bad” — Wildfire, forest management, and its impact on healthy watersheds. Stanford’s Water in the West “Insight” series:

Bryant BP and P Hamel (2017). Workshop report: Motivating and improving uncertainty assessment in ecosystem services modeling to inform decisions. SESYNC, Annapolis, 1-3 November 2016″.

Bryant, BP, S Wolny, A Vogl (2015). Understanding sensitivities, strengths, and weaknesses of the Resource Investment Optimization System: A demonstration in the Coyote Creek watershed. Natural Capital Project working paper.

Apse, C and BP Bryant (co-leads), P. Droogers, J Hunink, F Kihara, C Leisher, A Vogl, S Wolny (2015). “Upper-Tana Nairobi Water Fund: A Business Case.” The Nature Conservancy: Nairobi, Kenya

Bryant, BP (2015). “Ecosystem Services Assessment and Valuation of Proposed Investments for the Upper Tana-Nairobi Water Fund: A Technical Appendix to the Upper Tana-Nairobi Water Fund Business Case.” The Nature Conservancy: Nairobi, Kenya

Fischbach, JR., DR Johnson, D Ortiz, BP Bryant, M Hoover, J Ostwald. (2012) “Coastal Louisiana Risk Assessment Model: Technical Description and 2012 Coastal Master Plan Analysis Results.” RAND Technical Report TR-1259 (also formed basis for multiple higher level summary documents)

Bryant, BP and AL Westerling. (2009) “Potential Effects of Climate Change on Residential Wildfire Risk in California.” California Energy Commission White Paper CEC-500-2009-048-F.

Lempert RJ, BP Bryant and SC Bankes (2008). “Comparing Algorithms for Scenario Discovery.” RAND Working Paper Series: WR-557-NSF